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Elliott Wave Theory
Fibonacci
Median Line

 

ELLtoday, May 5,2010:
Before the fact: 
Elliott Wave Principle strikes again:

"Since waves (ii) and wave ii both traced out simple zigzag pattern, wave iv should form a more  complex pattern and ultimately leads to another sell-off down."

 

Components of Mood
Aspects of Social Polarity

R.N. Elliott said only that "human emotions...
are rhythmical" and that their waves govern "all human activities, whether it is business, politics, or the pursuit of pleasure."
Socionomics>>>


Change - 
Echo Bubble >>>

"Von woher soll denn eine Krise kommen?"

 


Rebound underway most likely into the 1100-1110s... 

ELLtoday, May 26,2010

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S&P 500,daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 28, 2010...
ML and Fiboancci Fanlines


S&P 500,daily

© ELLIOTT today, 
July 27, 2010...

S&P 500,daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 23, 2010...

S&P 500,daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 22, 2010...

S&P 500, daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 21, 2010
My Elliott wave analysis yesterday turned out to be correct:

S&P 500, daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 20, 2010

It is possible that this advance is wave (c) of an expanded flat and the real 5th down occurred last Friday or Monday.

 

S&P 500, daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 16, 2010

The market stalled at 1099 by reaching the ML-1 perfectly and tanked down.
 

S&P 500, daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 13, 2010
First, the market has now
reached that Midline quite exactly and second, 

S&P 500, daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 8, 2010
The current wave form from the low of July 1 looks like a copy of the wave form beginning June 8

 

S&P 500, daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
July 7, 2010
With respect to the Dow, the market surged above the widely discussed 10,000 level.

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DAX, weekly
(c) ELLIOTT today, 
June 26.,2010

 

DJIA daily.
(c) ELLIOTT today, 
June 26.,2010

 

DAX, 60min., Update
(c) ELLIOTT today, 6/9/2010
Fibonacci & Wave Two

The German DAX has reached a critical point. The current wave strucuture and the psychological
environment fits the description of a wave two behavior.


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Gold (Weekly Chart)
A Diagonal Triangle?

(c) ELLIOTT today, 
June 11,2010 >>>

DAX, daily, Update
(c) ELLIOTT today, 5/28/2010
German DAX - Higher?

Retracements 
in the 
S&P 500 Index
(2000-2002)

DJIA - Fibonacci
(c) ELLIOTT today, 
May 15, 2010

High Frequency Trading… Give Me a Break!  (HFT) >>>

S&P 500, daily
© ELLIOTT today, 
May 10,2010
As of yesterday, the market has reached another striking Fibonacci 61.8% 
retracement level.

© ELLIOTT today, 
May 6,2010
Yesterday's market action will go down in history, as the global selloff in stocks turned panicky Thursday with the DJIA plunging -998.50 points intraday, the "C" word spread financial magazines.

DAX - ML catched the top >>>

 

A Little Study on Median Line Technique
SPX, 10minute-chart, 

April 20/2010

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© ELLIOTT today, 
April 17,2010

Before the fact: Elliott Wave Principle strikes again:

"Five small waves down can be seen from the high and a three-wave up for
wave signals caution ahead."
Elltoday, April 15, 2010 

 

© ELLIOTT today, 
April 14,2010
For over a year, I published the most likely target of the countertrend move. 
A Fibonnaci 61.8% retracement is awaited at 1,228 +/-. (March 6,2010 below)

 

 

 


ELLIOTT today

Content

Elliottwave Articles >>>

Fibonacci >>>

Elliott Wave Principle

Elliott-today Reports: Change - Echo Bubble

Mythen

Die Wissenschaft entdeckt das Elliott Wave Principle

The Triune Brain

The New Economy

Enantiodromio

Special Reports

DAX 60minute Diagonal Triangle
© ELLtoday, 16. April 2010

DAX & Euro
© ELLtoday, 12. April 2010

Elliott Wellen Analyse- Perspektive und Ausblick
Stocks - A National Obsession

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how markets behave. The description reveals that mass investor psychology swings from  pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific patterns in price movement. Each pattern has implications  regarding  the position of the market within its overall progression , past, present and future. (A.J.Frost & Robert R. Prechter jr., 1990)

         



 

 

 

 

Quadrillion Dollar Debt: 'Day of Reckoning' Looms 
What Will Happen as $1,000,000,000,000,000 in Global Debt 
Winds Down?

July 22, 2010 
By Elliott Wave International
The biggest balloon in the world is deflating.

This balloon had been inflated with a quadrillion (1015) dollars, which is to say: This balloon was filled not with air but with debt from around the globe.

What will happen as this global debt winds down? In two words: Deflationary Depression -- the likes of which could be unprecedented in history.

Want to Know How to Prosper in a Deflationary Depression?
If you haven't yet given Robert Prechter's deflation argument your full attention, you should know now that yesterday was the best time to do so. Download Prechter's 60-Page Guide to Understanding Deflation here.

A thousand trillion in debt can't be wished away or swept under the rug. No one can "forgive" the debt. The consequences of unwinding this debt could be as massive as the dollar figure itself.

read on, goto click >>>        

 

Socionomics and the Sudden Wave of Violence
This essay by Mark Galasiewski originally appeared in The Elliott Wave Theorist 
in August-September 2006.

A little over two months ago, the stock markets of the world were hitting multi-year highs. Several Middle Eastern stock markets had already fallen by double digits—some by more than 50%—but the world outside 
of Iraq was relatively quiet and peaceful. Then in early May the major world indexes turned down. 
That minor drop reflects a downturn in social mood within a larger bear market of Grand Supercycle degree. This change has generated an explosion in violent conflicts worldwide. 

 

 

 

 

Video: The Real-Time Power of Elliott Wave Analysis

Mainstream financial analysts always look for ways to explain market action through news stories and events. Conventional wisdom states that news and inter-market correlations cause market booms and busts, but such explanations rely on selective presentation of the data. In this video, Elliott Wave International's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Editor Mark Galasiewski shows you how Elliott wave analysis was able to predict Hong Kong's late '90s mania and its aftermath in real time -- without looking at the news or the market's "fundamentals."

 

20 Questions with Robert Prechter: Signs Point to Deflation
By Elliott Wave International
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released a brand-new interview given by Robert Prechter. A devoted inflationist asks the leading proponent of deflation tough questions about fiat currency, gold, the Fed, the Great Depression, financial bubbles, government intervention and how to protect your money -- and even profit -- in today's environment. Here's an excerpt from the interview

 

For more information from Robert Prechter, download a FREE 10-page issue of the Elliott Wave Theorist. It challenges current recovery hype with hard facts, independent analysis, and insightful charts. You'll find out why the worst is NOT over and what you can do to safeguard your financial future. Hurry! This free offer expires June 7.

more
Elliottwave Articles >>>

 


 

Elliott-today Forecasts


Before The Fact: 
The Elliott Wave Principle strikes again:
"Five small waves down can be seen from the high and a three-wave up for
wave signals caution ahead."

Elltoday, April 15, 2010 >>>

 

 

 

 

The chart doesn't need much to explain: a five decline is clearly visible and the three-wave "recovery" calls for more to come to the downside. The high price reading of April 15 was 1,213.95, that is the recovery-wave from 
March 2009 gained 547.95 points, while the decline from the alltime-high covered
-910 points. The ratio, you guess is 0.60109, quite close to 0.618 the "Golden Section". 

 

DAX, daily, Update
(c) ELLIOTT today, 5/28/2010
German DAX - Higher?

 

EURO (Update)
© ELLIOTT today, May 20,2010

The EURO Will Fall Further
© ELLIOTT today, April 26,2010

EURO aktuell: Elliott Wave Analysis.

 

DAX - 15min. chart
(c) ELLIOTT today, 5/18/2010
The German DAX-XET trades below the ML and reached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level quite exactly.

 

DAX   - Third Wave Down
(c) ELLIOTT today, 05/07/2010
That the beginning of a historic decline in 
stock prices is near is the single most crucial fact facing every investor and portfolio manager today. Anyone still invested and not selling into this market is ignoring the most crucial message fromm the stock market pattern since 1929. 

DAX   (Socionomic Study)
(c) ELLIOTT today, 04/24/2010

Elliott Wave Theorist September 1992

The ebb and flow of the EU's fortune have unmistakably exhibited the "We" versus "They" sentiment of the market's main trend. Without exception, waves of rising optimism have produced expressions of unity, and market lows have displayed conspicuous Euro- skeptism and setbakcs. The unification movement's dependence on trends toward positive social mood extends to its earliest days as well.


DAX & News & Median Lines

(c) ELLIOTT today, 04/23/2010

Harmonic Analysis of Time & Price
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
© (c) ELLIOTT today, April 15, 2009

DAX 60minute chart 
Diagonal Triangle
© 
A classic Elliott Wave Pattern

Chart>>>  (c) ELLIOTT today, 16. April 2010


DAX & Euro >>>

© ELLIOTT today, 12. April 2010

EUR/USD: You Can't Blame Greece For Everything
The Greek debt crisis is now the go-to "reason" for market weakness. 

 

 

Enantiodromio
Aus der Sicht des Elliott Wave Principle befindet sich der amerikanische Aktien- markt Anfang des Jahres 2000 am Top des Grades "Grandsupercycle", was einem Grad höher entspricht als dem Top vom September 1929. "Grandsupercycle" bezeichnet die große Welle des DJIA von 1784 bis heute. Supercycle bezeichnet die Aufwärtswelle von 1932 bis heute und Cyclewelle bezeichnet die Aufwärtswelle von 1982 bis heute. Sollten wir uns deshalb Sorgen machen?
Artikel>>>>

 

Elliott Wellen Analyse - Perspektive und Ausblick
Stocks - A National Obsession
Dezember 1999

"Warum auch verkaufen, wenn sich Wall Street doch im schönsten, geradlinigen Anstieg des Jahrhunderts befindet?
(FAZ, 7.Dezember 1999)

Vor 10 Jahren, am 3.Januar 1990 erreichte der japanische Aktienmarkt sein historisches Hoch und die damaligen Presseberichte in der letzten Elliott-Impulswelle klangen nicht anders als heute, Ende 1999/ Anfang 2000 im Hinblick auf den amerikanischen Aktienmarkt. 
Artikel>>>

 

 

Outlook for the year 2010
Change - Echo Bubbel
"Von woher soll denn eine Krise kommen?"

In seiner Rede vor den Vereinten Nationen im September 2009 hat Barack Obama eine bemerkenswerte Kehrtwendung, eine kategorische Distanzierung von den Hegemonialallüren seines Vorgängers vollzogen, die in ihrer Bedeutung 
noch nicht erkannt wurde. Die "Obama-Mania", 
die weltweite Begeisterung für den afro- amerikanischen Kandidaten der Demokratischen Partei, kannte schon im Sommer 2008 keine Grenzen mehr, vor allem die Begeisterung, die 
sich der Deutschen bemächtigt hatte, zeigte 
Anzeichen einer Heilserwartung, die extrem hochgeschraubt waren. 

Sein weltbekanntes "Change" mag vielen Leuten 
als grosse Voraussicht gedeutet worden sein, 
doch ist kaum anzunehmen, daß Barack Obama mit den "Change" den amerikanischen Aktienmarkt gemeint haben könnte. Tatsächlich vollzog sich 
der Wechsel von der Allgemeinheit kaum 
bemerkt, lange vorher, genauer im Januar 2000 
als der Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) 
am 14. des Monats sein Alltime-high erreichte.
Artikel & Charts >>>

 

 

Mythen - Der Unsinn mit dem amerikanischen Handelsbilanzdefizit

"Jahr für Jahr produzieren die Wirtschafts- theoretiker lange Listen von mathematischen Modellen und erklären bis ins kleinste Detail ihre algebraischen Formeln und Funktionen in allen möglichen Schattierungen anhand derselben Daten - sind aber nicht in Lage ein halbwegs systematisches Verständnis von der Struktur und den Operationen eines wirklichen ökonomischen Systems zu erbringen."  Artikel>>>

 

Die Wissenschaft
entdeckt das Elliott Wave Principle

Neue Entdeckungen auf den Feldern der Komplextheorie, Fraktal Geometrie, Biologie und Psychologie geben mehr und mehr Hinweise darauf, daß das Wave Principle eine richtige Beschreibung von Finanz- und sozialer Wirklichkeit (social reality) ist. Dieser Report gibt einen Überblick der neuesten Entdeckungen und Forschungsergebnissen. Artikel>>>

 

 

Hidden History
Wie in jeder langen Hausse erfaßte mit der Zeit grenzenloser Optimismus die Börsenspieler, aber bald auch breiteste Bevölkerungsschichten. Täglich lasen die kleinen Leute in der Zeitung von raschen Börsenerfolgen, explodierenden  Grundstücks- preisen und neuen gigantischen Spekulationen. Und wo sogar die großen, illustren Namen der Hochfinanz und des Hochadels im Spiel waren, sollte man da zurückstehen? Artikel>>>

 

The Triune Brain
Triune Brain (dtsch. dreieiniges Gehirn) ist die von dem US-amerikanischen Hirnforscher Paul D. MacLean eingeführte Bezeichnung für sein Konzept zur Erklärung evolutionärer Abläufe, die sich in den Funktionen und Strukturen des 
menschlichen Gehirns widerspiegeln. In diesem Modell ist das Gehirn in drei separate Bereiche aufgeteilt, Artikel>>>

 


 the Charts 

Testimonies

         "I am very impressed with the S&P charts you posted on ELLIOTT today". 
         We
d, 26 Mar 2008, Sincerely Gecchi Sim

BTW, you guys are still da best wavy-gravy on da net - bar none! And you can quote me on that!!  scamman, Jan 26, 2007, clearstation.etrade.com

I just recently discovered your website, I like your clearly labelled charts. I haven't been able to find any sites with Elliott wave charts that even come close to yours! Your SPX charts have been a great reference to me for clearing up the smaller details.Best Regards, Brad, Feb 5, 2007 

I have never yet utilized an advisory service like yourself. To be very truthful can see the benefits of it. Alex, Feb 8,2007

EXCELLENT job on your new chart!! I'm glad to see that because I have thought for a while that the real bottom was in March .
I traded it and it felt like the real one instead of 2002, the transports bottomed there, and the rise from the 2002 is ugly. 
Since the street was so convinced of it I didn't bother pushing it. Lots of great work on that chart. Since now I can go along with that since you gave me confidence, I wouldn't see it ending here, but I have some real good Fib work that has caught these turns very well from 2003 low and there is no doubt that this market is trying to finish up the last Fib at 1242!!. With that, it can end closer to your 1250 in a blowoff Diagonal or the rest of the worlds 1260 area where the .618 from ATH's are. I dont think the market gives them the .618.  Dom, 03/10/2005

Hi, Just saw your Diagonal idea and love it! I always thought that it was an E at the same time the dow bottomed but didn't see a way to label it. Nice job! lets see what happens. Dom, 02/24/2005

Elliott-Today was the site I got the diagonal count from. Their main guy is a brilliant wave counter who has caught the majority of the swings this year on an intraday basis using Andrew's Pitchfork. They have a very interesting chart on that site that outlines the diagonal triangle. EN, Can

Great call this morning! I caught most of the move up. Do you think the current consolidation is a fourth wave? Thanks, Eric

The best wavy-gravy on the net, nonetheless. Enjoy! Clearstation,Aug.16,2004

Hey John - These guys cook up the best wavy gravy on the net - BAR NONE - so I'm salivating as I wait for dinner to be served! The appetizer last week was delicious. Enjoy! Clearstation,Aug.9,2004

"hi ernie - These guys make the best wavy-gravy calls, period." [clearstation.com]

"Hi John - The Elliott chart I cited yesterday12:43 PM turned out to be the most prescient one of all - projected 1128; SPX high of day was 1127.65. Not too shabby!

"....thank You, I am very greatful to read your site Elliott today.  It is really one of the best Elliott sites i have ever seen..."

Hi Karl: I enjoyed your long-term analysis of gold as I have been trading it. (EN)

 

 


 

 

 

 


 


 

 

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Copyright © 2010 ELLIOTT today. All Rights Reserved.  None of these stocks are buy or sell recommendations. 
There is a high degree of risk in trading. CLICK HERE FOR FULL RISK DISCLOSURE.

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how markets behave. The description reveals that mass investor psychology swings
from  pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific patterns in price movement. Each pattern has implications
 regarding  the position of the market within its overall progression , past, present and future. The purpose of this publication and its associated
services is  to outline the progress of markets in  terms of the Elliott Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application 
of the Elliott Wave Principle. This is probably the most comprehensive trading education on how to project high probability time & price targets 
based  on Elliott Wave pattern structure.